Point-in-time playbooks
SPX Market Analysis Archive
A stable index of point-in-time SPX playbooks. Open any dated article for its full trend, volatility, positioning, levels, scenarios, and strategy scorecard.
Latest: September 29, 2026
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Today’s tape
Start with the current decision state, then open the dated playbook for the evidence, levels, confirmations, invalidations, and scheduled event risk.
Directional readDownside leanDown
Risk stanceYELLOW0.50x size
SPX reference7,683.7eod_close
VIX16.07Elevated
Latest published analysis
SPX Daily Market Analysis — September 29, 2026
Downside lean. The trend stack is negative, but confirmation still matters. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
Latest point-in-time playbook
Daily analysis index
- September 29, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisDownside lean. The trend stack is negative, but confirmation still matters. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- September 28, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisUpside lean. The trend stack is positive, but confirmation still matters. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- September 25, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisUpside lean. The trend stack is positive, but confirmation still matters. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- September 24, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisStrong upside lean. The trend stack is firmly positive. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- September 23, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisStrong upside lean. The trend stack is firmly positive. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- September 22, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisUpside lean. The trend stack is positive, but confirmation still matters. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- September 21, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisBalanced / two-sided. The trend stack does not show a durable directional edge. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- September 18, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisBalanced / two-sided. The trend stack does not show a durable directional edge. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- September 17, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisDownside lean. The trend stack is negative, but confirmation still matters. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- September 16, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisDownside lean. The trend stack is negative, but confirmation still matters. The risk stance is RED: conditions fail the playbook's checks, and anything that trades at all is scaled to 0.00x normal size.
- September 15, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisDownside lean. The trend stack is negative, but confirmation still matters. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- September 14, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisDownside lean. The trend stack is negative, but confirmation still matters. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- September 11, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisDownside lean. The trend stack is negative, but confirmation still matters. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- September 10, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisBalanced / two-sided. The trend stack does not show a durable directional edge. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- September 9, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisBalanced / two-sided. The trend stack does not show a durable directional edge. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- September 8, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisBalanced / two-sided. The trend stack does not show a durable directional edge. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- September 4, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisBalanced / two-sided. The trend stack does not show a durable directional edge. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- September 3, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisBalanced / two-sided. The trend stack does not show a durable directional edge. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- September 2, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisBalanced / two-sided. The trend stack does not show a durable directional edge. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- September 1, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisBalanced / two-sided. The trend stack does not show a durable directional edge. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- August 31, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisBalanced / two-sided. The trend stack does not show a durable directional edge. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- August 28, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisUpside lean. The trend stack is positive, but confirmation still matters. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- August 27, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisBalanced / two-sided. The trend stack does not show a durable directional edge. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- August 26, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisBalanced / two-sided. The trend stack does not show a durable directional edge. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- August 25, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisDownside lean. The trend stack is negative, but confirmation still matters. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- August 24, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisDownside lean. The trend stack is negative, but confirmation still matters. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- August 21, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisDownside lean. The trend stack is negative, but confirmation still matters. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- August 20, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisDownside lean. The trend stack is negative, but confirmation still matters. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- August 19, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisBalanced / two-sided. The trend stack does not show a durable directional edge. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- August 18, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisBalanced / two-sided. The trend stack does not show a durable directional edge. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- August 17, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisBalanced / two-sided. The trend stack does not show a durable directional edge. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- August 14, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisBalanced / two-sided. The trend stack does not show a durable directional edge. The risk stance is GREEN: the environment clears the playbook's checks, and ideas run at their full 1.00x size.
- August 13, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisUpside lean. The trend stack is positive, but confirmation still matters. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- August 12, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisBalanced / two-sided. The trend stack does not show a durable directional edge. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- August 11, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisBalanced / two-sided. The trend stack does not show a durable directional edge. The risk stance is YELLOW: the environment argues for caution, so every idea is cut to 0.50x normal size until the tape earns more.
- August 10, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisStrong upside lean. The trend stack is firmly positive. The risk stance is GREEN: the environment clears the playbook's checks, and ideas run at their full 1.00x size.
- August 7, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisStrong upside lean. The trend stack is firmly positive. The risk stance is YELLOW, which scales the playbook to 0.50x normal size.
- August 6, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisStrong upside lean. The trend stack is firmly positive. The risk stance is YELLOW, which scales the playbook to 0.50x normal size.
- August 5, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisStrong upside lean. The trend stack is firmly positive. The risk stance is GREEN, which scales the playbook to 1.00x normal size.
- August 4, 2026SPX Daily Market AnalysisStrong upside lean. The trend stack is firmly positive. The risk stance is YELLOW, which scales the playbook to 0.50x normal size.
Each dated page updates at the two scheduled times, then freezes after the late-session edition. Older dates are not rewritten with hindsight.
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Educational market commentary only. This page summarizes a point-in-time SPX playbook; it is not personalized investment advice, a trade alert, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Levels, volatility, positioning, and conditional strategies can become stale quickly. Confirm current prices and risk before making any decision. Options involve substantial risk, and a defined-risk spread can lose its full maximum loss.