Daily Options Scenario #14
SPXPlay · Daily · 2026-07-25
One real SPX session from the trainer’s five-year history, dates masked. Below: the last 50 daily candles into the entry, the volatility and trend read at the close, and the four defined-risk verticals that were actually priced there (1 contract, ×100 multiplier, historical option quotes) — all expiring in 3 DTE. Pick your play, then reveal what the tape did.
SPX · last 50 sessions · dates masked · entry 5,870.30
Your five choices
| Choice | Strikes | Entry | Max profit | Max loss | Breakeven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bull put credit spread | 5,810 / 5,780 | +$595.00 credit | $595.00 | $2,405.00 | above 5,804.1 |
| Bear call credit spread | 5,930 / 5,960 | +$610.00 credit | $610.00 | $2,390.00 | below 5,936.1 |
| Bull call debit spread | 5,935 / 5,875 | −$2,257.50 debit | $3,742.50 | $2,257.50 | above 5,897.6 |
| Bear put debit spread | 5,810 / 5,870 | −$2,132.50 debit | $3,867.50 | $2,132.50 | below 5,848.7 |
| No trade — stand aside | — | — | — | — | — |
Tap a row to lock in your play — it gets scored against the whole board.
Reveal what happened
Reveal: the sessions after entry
Over the next 3 sessions SPX rose 1.50% from 5870 to settle at 5958.38. VIX went from 18.4 to 17.2. The hold high of 5959 traded through the 5930 short call strike. CPI release had already printed at 08:30 ET that morning, before the 10:00 ET entry.
| Choice | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Bull put credit spread | WIN | +$593.70 |
| Bear call credit spread | LOSS | −$2,229.30 |
| Bull call debit spread | WIN | +$3,741.20 |
| Bear put debit spread | LOSS | −$2,133.80 |
| No trade — stand aside | stood aside | $0.00 |
- put_credit REDUCED (+0.25): gamma regime unknown (GEX unavailable); trend STRONG_UP (5d +4.7%); elevated-but-fading VIX: richer credit with vol tailwind; high-impact pre-open print today: wait for the release to clear
- call_credit AVOID (-3.00): fighting an uptrend: GEX live book saw 9% win rate doing this; disabled by default in the GEX live policy (call credits lost -$2,245 on 30d)
Keep playing
Playbook Trainer is an educational game built on historical market data. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to trade. Options involve substantial risk; defined-risk spreads can lose their full maximum loss. Scenario dates are masked, and prices reflect historical option quotes with simplified fills.